Revenue Growth — Inorganic vs Organic
Currently modelled with conservative ~10% same-store growth — product-led growth not yet modelled
Growth
Revenue growth has two components: inorganic (new firm acquisitions each year) and
organic (existing portfolio same-store growth at ~10% YoY).
The model is deliberately conservative — it assumes no cross-selling between portfolio firms,
no pricing increases beyond inflation, no new service lines, and critically:
product-led growth has not yet been modelled.
Despite this, by 2029 organic growth accounts for 55% of year-on-year revenue growth.
Note: 2028 shows only 3 acquisitions — should we raise a larger round in 2027 or choose to raise an additional scaling round in 2028, we can substantially increase the speed of acquisitions.
Scenario: 2-Firm Portfolio Breakeven
If we stop after 2026 acquisitions (T26-1 + T26-2) — what does it take to break even?
Downside
With only Target 26-1 ($650K bookkeeping) and Target 26-2 ($4M tax+book) acquired,
the combined portfolio EBITDA grows from $1.4M at acquisition to $4.3M by Year 3.
Against a stripped-down HQ of ~$1.5M (vs $2.9M full), the portfolio breaks even mid-Year 1 and generates
$2.8M free cash flow by Year 3.
HQ Cut Needed
~48%
$2.9M → ~$1.5M
Breakeven
Year 1
Mid-Y1 crossover
FCF at Y3
$2.8M
Self-sustaining
Investment Intensity vs Revenue
Acquisition + product spend as % of revenue — capital efficiency at scale
Capital
Total investment (acquisitions + product development) exceeds revenue in 2026 as the platform is built.
By 2028, the combined ratio drops to 48% as product costs flatline and revenue scales.
The 2029 spike is the planned 11-target scale push.
Product Development Investment & Team
60% of HQ cost base allocated to product — spend flatlines by 2028 while revenue scales 50%+ YoY
Product
Product investment grows from $1.7M (20 FTEs) in 2026 to $9.3M (75 FTEs) by 2029.
Critically, the team and spend plateau in 2028 at 75 FTEs / ~$9M — while revenue continues to grow 50%+ YoY.
Product cost as % of revenue drops from 133% to just 16%,
producing outsized operating leverage from 2029 onward.